Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.049860 0.054135 0.058460 0.063159 0.068111 0.073168 0.078716
2024-11-03 0.042802 0.049084 0.055672 0.063069 0.071116 0.079579 0.089126
2024-11-10 0.037711 0.045464 0.053860 0.063564 0.074409 0.086096 0.099581
2024-11-17 0.033930 0.042830 0.052751 0.064516 0.077972 0.092773 0.110173
2024-11-24 0.032140 0.042208 0.053710 0.067643 0.083882 0.102040 0.123703
2024-12-01 0.027861 0.038277 0.050513 0.065686 0.083736 0.104273 0.129155
2024-12-08 0.024913 0.035688 0.048671 0.065110 0.085019 0.108014 0.136243
2024-12-15 0.022490 0.033540 0.047180 0.064792 0.086472 0.111858 0.143387
2024-12-22 0.021537 0.033179 0.047827 0.067032 0.090976 0.119304 0.154800
2024-12-29 0.020213 0.032215 0.047620 0.068136 0.094042 0.125010 0.164155
2025-01-05 0.018938 0.031215 0.047284 0.069006 0.096771 0.130286 0.172998
2025-01-12 0.017191 0.029433 0.045812 0.068322 0.097477 0.133041 0.178761
2025-01-19 0.016143 0.028605 0.045603 0.069308 0.100363 0.138587 0.188093
2025-01-26 0.014665 0.027049 0.044325 0.068818 0.101319 0.141726 0.194490
2025-02-02 0.013583 0.026001 0.043684 0.069129 0.103282 0.146116 0.202451
2025-02-09 0.012779 0.025313 0.043499 0.070020 0.105978 0.151428 0.211579
2025-02-16 0.012740 0.025812 0.045015 0.073261 0.111809 0.160774 0.225833
2025-02-23 0.011180 0.023768 0.042743 0.071159 0.110459 0.160885 0.228425
2025-03-02 0.010157 0.022518 0.041569 0.070531 0.111035 0.163439 0.234093
2025-03-09 0.009292 0.021463 0.040627 0.070184 0.111954 0.166415 0.240290
2025-03-16 0.009142 0.021637 0.041560 0.072545 0.116597 0.174289 0.252819
2025-03-23 0.008722 0.021300 0.041679 0.073707 0.119587 0.180004 0.262598
2025-03-30 0.008276 0.020879 0.041642 0.074624 0.122231 0.185272 0.271822